Sep 29, 2025
Welcome to Market Cycle IQ
Raising Your Market Cycle IQ
IQ overcomes Altheticism
Tom Brady ran a slow 40-yard dash, and Larry Bird couldn’t outjump or outrun his peers. Yet, both became legends due to their high IQs, which allowed them to outthink and outperform more athletic competitors. Just like Brady and Bird outsmarted more athletic rivals, a high market IQ beats bigger bets, breaking news, and institutional investors.
Athleticism vs. IQ → Capital vs. IQ in markets
- You don’t need to take a massive risk if you can see what's coming next
Raw talent vs. IQ → Emotion vs. IQ in markets
- IQ helps you stay disciplined when others panic or chase.
Strength/Speed vs. IQ → Short-term luck vs. IQ in markets
- IQ helps you to avoid trash and only swing at strikes
October is Special
- October has earned the title “bear market killer.”
- Historically, it’s when weakness ends and strength begins.
👉 That makes high-conviction positioning critical. Why? Because the strongest seasonal returns tend to come in November, December, and January.
Sector Leadership & New Themes
This bull market is not a monolith. Leadership rotates. Right now, strength is concentrated in the following Sectors:
- Technology
- Industrials
- Financials
- Crypto
AI continues to drive nearly every Industry. But watch for two emerging themes:
- Robotics
- Energy storage
Meanwhile, manufacturing is showing signs of recovery — which means industrial companies are preparing to increase spending.
Macro Tailwinds to Watch
- Crypto: Financial deregulation is paving the way for a new regulatory framework. Expect the next leg higher for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Chainlink.
- Monetary cycle: Rates are falling while global money supply expands. This sets up small-cap stocks for continued outperformance.
Short-Term Risk: October Pullback
Before the next bull run accelerates, I’m expecting a potential 3–5% correction in mid-October.
- Odds: about 50/50.
- If it happens, it could be one of the best buying opportunities of this cycle.
The Real Risk for New Investors
The danger isn’t recession — that ship has sailed.
The danger is not being long enough.
Sitting on the sidelines isn’t conservative. It’s financial suicide. Five years from now, many will regret letting fear keep them out of the market.
Fear of overspending.
Fear debt.
Fear toxic relationships or bad health.
But don’t fear investing in the greatest technologies of our lifetime.
My Highest Conviction 5-Year Investments + PT
- LINK : $350 - $500 by 2030
- TSLA : $1500 - $2500 by 2030
- PLTR : $400 - $600 by 2030
- BMNR : $300 - 600 by 2030
- MSTR: $1,500 - $3,000 by 2030
Final Word
October often delivers the gift of a pullback. Use it wisely.
This content is intended for a broad audience and is not tailored to the financial needs, goals, or circumstances of any individual. We are not registered investment advisors; this publication should not be interpreted as creating an advisor-client relationship.
All investments carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices, allocations, and asset references (including " 🟢 = GOOD PRICE" or similar terms) are based on our research and opinion and should be interpreted as non-binding, illustrative frameworks, not actionable advice.
Readers should consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We may hold positions in the securities or assets discussed and will disclose such positions when relevant. Use of this newsletter is at your own risk.